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There are no irreversible phenomena

December 03,2014 12:17

Before 1986-87, it seemed that the Soviet Union is irreversible. Then, it so “reversed” that now many people do not come to consciousness and miss the system, which contained both positive and negative things. By the autumn of 1997, it seemed to me that the PANM party’s authorities are irreversible, and the next presidential elections will be held in 2001. But the first president’s entourage “reversed” everything, and in this case, I’m not sure that it is reversed towards the good side. Today, the RPA members are confident in their irreversibility, which, of course, is also a delusion.

Until last year, September 3, many of us believed that our movement toward the EU Association Agreement is irreversible, but Putin “reversed” this movement in an overnight by 180 percent. When the United States supported Bin Laden in his fight against the Soviet Union, they thought that Bin Laden’s loyalty to them is irreversible, but the number one terrorist reversed against the United States. Exactly in the same way, when the same country supported the Arab revolutions, they thought that regimes that are more “suitable” for them would appear, but in the years of chaos, entirely unfriendly forces for the United States popped-up.

There is a vast group of people in Armenia who think that their misery is irreversible and are waiting for an “aid”, “charity” and state allowances, as well as is expecting to slightly improve their financial condition due to wealthy parties and candidates during the elections. However, these people’s thinking is not irreversible either, and our duty is to break this despair in them.

Conclusion: do not say that something is irreversible. Calculate the development aspirations of the phenomenon and predict the consequences. Who are the predictors? Naturally, people who have more information. It’s a bit surprising, of course, that in the United States, where there are dozens of companies both under the government supervision and beyond it, who are specialized in predicting, have not warned the White House about the consequences of unthoughtful moves. Or, maybe they had warned, but the administration had neglected them.

Of course, there are no opportunities in Armenia for creating such analytical facilities. But we do also have people and groups of people who are more informed than others. The abyss between them and the decision-makers is enormous, greater than in the developed countries.

It is seen in the particular example of the recent events. Armenia’s almost the entire political elite: government, non-government and opposition, decided that the structure with a suspicious name of EaEU is irreversible. When the above groups are saying, “No, wait, let’s think a little bit,” the representatives of these elite are even a little offended. But their self-content is also irreversible.

ARAM ABRAHAMYAN

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